12/15/2006

Edwards has commanding lead in first Iowa poll...


More Good News for Edwards in Iowa - The Fix

Chris Matthews Has His Eyes on Edwards...

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In a surprise to everyone who has been swept up in the Clinton/Obama hype of recent weeks, John Edwards, former Vice Presidential candidate and North Carolina Senator, has a commanding lead in early polling of primary voters in Iowa coming in with 36%, compared with 16% for Clinton and a mere 13% for neo-political rock star Barack Obama. Even more surprising is that outgoing Iowa governor, and the only officially declared candidate, Tom Vilsack could only muster 9% in his home state. I don't think Vilsack truly expects to win the nomination, but I do think he is eying the VP spot on the Dem's 2008 ticket. Edwards had a strong showing in the 2004 Iowa caucuses, coming on strong along with his eventual running mate John Kerry in the final two weeks of campaigning, following the implosion of then front-runner and now DNC chairman Howard Dean.

I think that Edwards has many factors working in his favor in the run-up to the 2008 campaign, primarily the fact that he is currently unemployed. This allows him to focus solely on campaigning without having to worry about how his votes in the Senate may affect how he is perceived in mainstream America. He has also had two years to float under the radar and plot his strategy for combating the much anticipated candidacy of Sen. Clinton who, until the recent emergence of Barack Obama and the comparisons of him to JFK, was clearly the favorite of the mainstream media. There is no question that this poll, which is the second to show such a commanding lead for the former-Senator, has placed him at the front of the pack heading into the long 2007 battle for the heart and minds of Democratic voters. This should scare Republicans because an Edwards-Obama or Edwards-Vilsack ticket may be tremendously difficult to defeat in a general election. If the Republican party rejects its more moderate figures, such as Rudy Guiliani and John McCain, in favor of a more conservative candidate, they put themselves at risk of losing the battle for the swing voters that Karl Rove so skillfully lured in 2000 and 2004. The race is on...
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